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Iran has attacked its neighbors in reprisal for not supporting it against the U.S. and Israel. But one thing Iran has not done is attack Gulf countries’ water supplies. Many of its desert kingdom neighbors are dependent on seawater desalination plants. “The targeting of key infrastructure, such as water desalination plants … would mark important escalations of the conflict,” Macquarie analysts Thierry Wizman and Gareth Berry told clients recently. “Water desalination has always been a key vulnerability in the Gulf states. In one report from several years ago, it was estimated that a hostile act against Saudi Arabia’s water infrastructure would force authorities to evacuate Riyadh (with a population of 8.5 million) within a week.” Saudi Arabia’s Jubail Desalination Plant produces 1.6 million cubic meters of water per day. According to the U.S. Embassy in Saudi Arabia, in the event of an attack on Jubail, “Riyadh would have to evacuate … The current structure of the Saudi government could not exist without the Jubail Desalination Plant.”

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